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Samus Aran

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Samus Aran last won the day on November 15

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About Samus Aran

  • Birthday July 21

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  1. Samus Aran

    Flint Water Crisis *NEWS*

    Friday's meeting could be end of the line for Gov. Snyder's Flint water group When he leaves office, I hope he will be held accountable for his role in the Flint Water Crisis.
  2. Samus Aran

    {2018} Hurricanes/Typhoons -(advisories)

    Tropical Cyclone Gaja { Last Updated: 11/15/2018, 7:30:00 PM (Eastern Standard Time) } 000 WTIO31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z --- NEAR 10.4N 79.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 79.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 10.3N 76.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 10.3N 74.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 10.5N 72.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 10.8N 70.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 11.1N 66.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 11.1N 62.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 11.1N 59.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 78.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 903 NM SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPACT SYSTEM THAT HAS LOST ITS EYE FEATURE BUT HAS OTHERWISE MAINTAINED ITS CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE BASED ON A 152243Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWING A 10-NM WIDE EYE FEATURE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONSISTENT CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE AND SUPPORTED BY DVORAK CI ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77KTS) FROM PGTW AND KNES. TC 07B IS OVER LAND AND TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. DESPITE FAVORABLE (10-15 KNOT) VWS AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, THE RELATIVELY SMALL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT CROSSES OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND INTERACTS WITH THE TOPOGRAPHY. TC 07B IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE IN THE ARABIAN SEA BY TAU 24, AT WHICH TIME FAVORABLE VWS AMD WARM SSTS WILL BE OFFSET BY WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. THIS WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OF TC 07B BY TAU 48. AFTER TAU 72, VWS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND LEAD TO A GRADUAL WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION BY TAU 120. DESPITE SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST, DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON TRACK. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH CLOSELY FOLLOWS CONSENSUS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z, 161500Z, 162100Z AND 170300Z.// NNNN
  3. Florida man who looks like the 'Joker' arrested again Florida surely does have some interesting characters.
  4. Samus Aran

    Random word

    Random
  5. Scammers use accurate passwords in email scam to threaten Jacksonville residents for money If I got an email like that, I wouldn't answer back. I'd get the police involved.
  6. Samus Aran

    MISSING: Jayme Closs

    Search for missing Wisconsin teen Jayme Closs continues as FBI investigates additional video I hope they find her soon.
  7. Samus Aran

    Flint Water Crisis *NEWS*

    Former Mayor blames Emergency Manager for Flint water crisis BULL****!
  8. Oh my...A RETURN TO TRUMBULL VALLEY!!! So excited.
  9. How's school going?

  10. California dad charged with insurance fraud after he drove off cliff, killing autistic sons: feds People who would kill their kids for money are disgusting!
  11. Samus Aran

    Right now I am watching.....

    The Christmas Cottage
  12. Samus Aran

    {2018} Hurricanes/Typhoons -(advisories)

    Tropical Cyclone Gaja { Last Updated: 11/13/2018, 7:30:00 PM (Eastern Standard Time) } 000 WTIO31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (GAJA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z --- NEAR 13.1N 85.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 85.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 12.6N 84.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 12.2N 83.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 11.8N 81.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 11.4N 78.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 11.3N 74.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 85.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B (GAJA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 597 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE PERSISTENT AND SYMMETRIC. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 140017Z SSMIS 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWING BROAD LOW LEVEL BANDING FEATURES WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED THE RECENT IMPROVEMENT IN STORM STRUCTURE AND DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATES OF T1.5 (25 KNOTS) FROM PGTW, T2.5 (35 KNOTS) FROM KNES, AND AN ADT ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TC 07B IS EXPERIENCING FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15 KNOTS) AND HAS A ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE, BETWEEN 29 AND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 07B IS TRACKING BETWEEN TWO SUBTROPICAL RIDGES (STRS) LOCATED TO THE WEST AND EAST. TC 07B WILL TRACK SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST WHILE IT REMAINS POSITIONED BETWEEN THE TWO AFOREMENTIONED STRS. BEYOND TAU 12, THE STR TO THE WEST WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING FEATURE. THE WESTERN STR WILL CAUSE TC 07B TO INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS TOWARD SOUTHERN INDIA. FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO ALLOW TC 07B TO REACH 50 KNOTS BY TAU 36. AFTER TAU 36, TC 07B WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN INDIA AND WEAKEN IN INTENSITY. SHORTLY BEFORE TAU 72, TC 07B WILL EMERGE INTO THE ARABIAN SEA. HOWEVER, UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW TC 07B TO DISSIPATE BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES THAT TC 07B WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD AND THEN WESTWARD. HOWEVER, AFUM, ECMWF, AND NVGM FAVOR A TRACK FARTHER TO THE NORTH WITH HWRF, GFS, AND CTCX INDICATING A TRACK FARTHER TO THE SOUTH. THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AND FAVORS THE NORTHERN GROUPING. OVERALL, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.// NNNN
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