Jump to content
Der Wille Zur Macht

Recommended Posts

Tropical Depression Eleven E {Last Updated: 9/1/2022 11:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)}

000 
WTPZ31 KNHC 020231
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112022
900 PM MDT Thu Sep 01 2022
 
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON
FRIDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 111.3W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E
was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 111.3 West.  The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), 
and an increase in forward speed is expected through early Saturday. 
A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast on Saturday, followed 
by a turn toward the west on Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours or so, and 
the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or on 
Friday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by the depression are expected to affect
portions of the southern and central Baja California peninsula.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
RAINFALL:  Tropical Depression Eleven-E is expected to produce 1 to
2 inches of rainfall, with isolated storm totals of 3 inches across
southern portions of Baja California Sur through Friday.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg

 

4JwEnhc.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Samus Aran changed the title to Tropical Storm Javier

Tropical Storm Javier {Last Updated: 9/2/2022 5:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)}

000 
WTPZ31 KNHC 020840
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Javier Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112022
300 AM MDT Fri Sep 02 2022
 
...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM JAVIER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 111.7W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was
located near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 111.7 West. Javier is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and an increase 
in forward speed is expected through early Saturday.  A turn toward 
the west-northwest is forecast on Saturday, followed by a turn 
toward the west on Sunday. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some additional strengthening is forecast through Saturday before 
Javier begins to weaken by Sunday evening.  
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.  An automated Mexican navy weather station on 
Socorro Islands recently reported a wind gust of 47 mph (76 km/h).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Javier are expected to affect portions 
of the southern and central Baja California peninsula.  These 
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current 
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
RAINFALL:  Outer rainbands should move onshore of the southwestern 
coast of Baja California Sur within the next few hours. Tropical 
Storm Javier is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with 
isolated storm total amounts of 4 inches across portions of Baja 
California Sur through this weekend.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Roberts

4JwEnhc.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tropical Storm Javier {Last Updated: 9/3/2022 2:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)}

000 
WTPZ31 KNHC 031742
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Javier Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112022
1200 PM MDT Sat Sep 03 2022
 
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN 
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 115.4W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM S OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The west coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Puerto San 
Andresito northward to Punta Eugenia
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The west coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas
northward to Puerto San Andresito
* The east coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas
northward to Bahia San Juan Bautista
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are 
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case, within 
the next 6 to 12 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case, within the next 6 to 
12 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was
located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 115.4 West. Javier is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  This general
motion is forecast to continue through today. A slow turn toward the
west-northwest to west is expected to begin early Sunday. On the
forecast track, the center of Javier should move generally parallel
to but offshore of the coast of Baja California Sur through today,
and then turn away from the coast on Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Javier is expected to gradually weaken over the next few days
and become a post-tropical cyclone by early Sunday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Javier can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1, WMO
header WTPZ41 KNHC, and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP1.shtml.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the 
warning area and are possible in portions of the watch area 
through this evening.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Javier will continue to affect portions
of the southern and central Baja California peninsula during the
next day or so.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.
 
RAINFALL:  Javier is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of additional
rainfall, with isolated storm total amounts of 5 inches across
portions of Baja California Sur through today.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci/Reinhart

4JwEnhc.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...