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Tropical Storm Earl :Last Updated: 9/3/2022 11:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)}

000 
WTNT31 KNHC 031455
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Earl Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062022
1100 AM AST Sat Sep 03 2022
 
...EARL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO THE NORTH OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 62.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of Earl.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was 
located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 62.4 West. Earl is 
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this 
motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through early 
Sunday.  A turn toward the northwest with an additional decrease in 
forward speed is expected Sunday through Monday. On the forecast 
track, the center of Earl is expected to pass just north of the 
northern Leeward Islands today, and north of the Virgin Islands and 
Puerto Rico tonight and Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is possible during the next few days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km), 
mainly to the north and east of the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Earl is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2
to 4 inches, with isolated totals of 6 inches, across the Leeward
Islands, U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico this
weekend.
 
Limited flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts are
possible.  Rapid rises on rivers and mudslides in areas of steep
terrain are also possible, especially across the central interior
region of Puerto Rico.
 
WIND:  Gusty winds, especially in squalls, are possible across the
northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
through the weekend.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart

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Tropical Storm Earl {Last Updated: 9/4/2022 5:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)}

000 
WTNT31 KNHC 042044
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Earl Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062022
500 PM AST Sun Sep 04 2022
 
...EARL RESUMES A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...
...ONGOING HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULTING IN FLOODING IMPACTS IN PUERTO
RICO, THE VIRGIN ISLANDS, AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH
TONIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 65.2W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM N OF ST. THOMAS
ABOUT 850 MI...1365 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Earl.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was
located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 65.2 West. Earl has
resumed a slow northwestward motion near 5 mph (7 km/h) and a 
gradual turn to the north-northwest is anticipated to begin 
tomorrow followed by a north-northeastward turn later this week.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast over the next several days,
and Earl could become a hurricane later this week.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 3
to 5 inches, with isolated totals of 8 inches, across the Leeward
Islands, U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico today
into tomorrow.
 
Limited flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts are
possible.  Rapid rises on rivers, and mudslides in areas of steep
terrain are also possible, especially across the central interior
region of Puerto Rico. Locally considerable flood impacts are
possible in areas that will receive heavier rainfall totals.
 
WIND:  Gusty winds, especially in squalls, are possible across the
northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
through tonight.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin

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Tropical Storm Earl {Last Updated: 9/5/2022 5:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)}

000 
WTNT31 KNHC 050851
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Earl Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062022
500 AM AST Mon Sep 05 2022
 
...EARL NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 65.3W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM N OF ST. THOMAS
ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Earl.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was
located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 65.3 West. Earl is
moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h).  A turn 
toward the north at a slightly faster forward speed is expected 
later today, with this motion continuing for the next couple of 
days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast over the next several days, and Earl
could become a hurricane later this week.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.  NOAA data buoy 41043 recently reported a
sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) with a gust to 49 mph          
(79 km/h).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).  
NOAA data buoy 41043 recently reported a pressure of 1001.4 mb 
(29.57 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of
1 to 4 inches, with isolated storm totals of 8 inches, across the
Leeward Islands, U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
through Monday.
 
Limited flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts are
possible.  Rapid rises on rivers and mudslides in areas of steep
terrain are also possible, especially across the central interior
region of Puerto Rico. Locally considerable flood impacts are
possible in areas that will receive heavier rainfall totals.
 
WIND:  Gusty winds, especially in squalls, are possible across the
northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
for a few more hours.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

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